Unraveling International Crude Oil Price Fluctuations - Forecasting Methods and Insights

This book constructs a multi-dimensional international oil price forecasting and analysis indicator framework covering seven different dimensions: supply, demand, inventory, finance, institutional remarks, key events, and trading sentiment. It incorporates as many predictive factors as possible into the indicator set and uses multiple regression methods to forecast international oil price trends for six months or a year more completely and comprehensively, providing better explanatory power for abnormal fluctuations in international oil prices.  This book aims to provide a reference for relevant units to deeply understand the evolution law of international oil prices and identify the dominant factors behind international oil price changes, while also indicating to investors which warning indicators they should focus on.